Lecco 0-3 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.06/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.84
+12% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-1 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.12.2022 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
16.02.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
09.10.2021 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 2-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
0-3
AWAY Padova Calcio
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio ran out comfortable winners over Lecco 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 44% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lecco and 2.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Padova Calcio?

Lecco 0-3 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecco 31%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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