Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.6pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 60%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.35/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.57
-51% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Ethiopian Insurance shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopian Insurance at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 39% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 61%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 22%, draw 28%, Ethiopian Insurance 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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