Fasil Ketema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.64/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.50
-41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +111%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
04.07.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
18.01.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema edged past Kedus Giorgis 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fasil Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 49% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kedus Giorgis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fasil Ketema and 2.00 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Fasil Ketema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 37%, draw 32%, Kedus Giorgis 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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