Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
32%
-7.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.71/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.05
+40% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.07.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
18.01.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-2
AWAY Fasil Ketema
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema nicked a narrow win over Kedus Giorgis 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 48% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 52%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kedus Giorgis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 0.00 for Fasil Ketema.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 45%, draw 24%, Fasil Ketema 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →