Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
16%
3.45
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
25%
-9.1pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rancho Santana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
11.11.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
16.09.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal got the better of Rancho Santana 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Ocotal as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.33 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Rancho Santana?

Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 48%, draw 16%, Rancho Santana 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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