Rancho Santana 3-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
16.09.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana got the better of Deportivo Ocotal 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rancho Santana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Ocotal's 38%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Ocotal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.50 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Rancho Santana 3-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rancho Santana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 48%, draw 21%, Deportivo Ocotal 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rancho Santana) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rancho Santana) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
10 Feb 2025
05:00 UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco Analysis →