UNAN Managua 3-2 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.75/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.16
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
14.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-1 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
19.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-0 HT 4-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
06.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
13.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
3-2
AWAY Export Sebaco
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua nicked a narrow win over Export Sebaco 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day UNAN Managua made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 66% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 34%, shots finished 26-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

UNAN Managua 3-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 40%, draw 26%, Export Sebaco 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ BTTS No
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