Goias vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Goias v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Goias vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRK
2-2
HT 0-1
Goias
BR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
Goias 1-0 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Goias edged past Criciuma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Goias had 54% of the ball to Criciuma's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Goias vs Criciuma?
Goias 1-0 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Goias vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Goias 47%, draw 27%, Criciuma 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.