Criciuma vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Goias — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRK
2-2
HT 0-1
Goias
BR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Goias
BR2
Criciuma 1-2 Goias — Actual Match Statistics
Goias nicked a narrow win over Criciuma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Criciuma had 67% of the ball to Goias's 33%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.58 to 1.68 — on chances, Criciuma could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Criciuma and 1.17 for Goias.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Goias?
Criciuma 1-2 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Goias?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 46%, draw 28%, Goias 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5 went the other way.