Paysandu vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
3-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR2
2-0
HT 2-0
Paysandu
BR2
Paysandu 1-2 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Avai edged past Paysandu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paysandu had 50% of the ball to Avai's 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.49 to 1.02 — on chances, Paysandu could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paysandu and 1.17 for Avai.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Avai?
Paysandu 1-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 37%, draw 30%, Avai 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paysandu), Under 2.5 went the other way.