Avai 1-0 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Aug 2024

Avai
1-0 HT 1-0
Paysandu
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Avai vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.6
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.31/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.83
-26% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.2 Crosses 19.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8

Avai vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paysandu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.83 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 0-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
08.09.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 2-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
26.05.2018 Avai Avai 3-1 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
01.10.2016 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
15.06.2016 Paysandu Paysandu 1-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
19.10.2013 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2

Avai 1-0 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-0
AWAY Paysandu
1.03 xG 0.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
280 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avai vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai squeezed past Paysandu 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 44% of the ball to Paysandu's 56%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.03 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avai and 0.67 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Avai vs Paysandu?

Avai 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avai 44%, draw 26%, Paysandu 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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