Sport Recife vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BRK
3-3
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BRK
1-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
Sport Recife 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba nicked a narrow win over Sport Recife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Sport Recife had 58% of the ball to Coritiba's 42%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.66 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sport Recife and 0.67 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Coritiba?
Sport Recife 0-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 41%, draw 30%, Coritiba 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sport Recife) went the other way.