Santa Clara U23 2-3 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.6pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.70/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/2.11
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2026 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
17.12.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
18.10.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
19.10.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
29.08.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara U23 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.80 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Benfica U23?

Santa Clara U23 2-3 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 33%, draw 24%, Benfica U23 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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