FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-0
HT 1-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-2
HT 1-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
FK Tukums 2000 2-1 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
FK Tukums 2000 squeezed past FS Jelgava 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Tukums 2000 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 56% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 44%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 1.21 to 2.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured FS Jelgava.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?
FK Tukums 2000 2-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 41%, draw 27%, FS Jelgava 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.