Gaddafi 3-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 May 2024

Gaddafi
3-1
Maroons
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gaddafi vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.56
Over 2.5
31%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
60%
+9.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
40%
-9.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-10.3pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaddafi v Maroons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 55%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Gaddafi vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maroons
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Maroons Maroons 5-0 HT 3-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA

Gaddafi 3-1 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
3-1
AWAY Maroons
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi beat Maroons 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maroons at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaddafi had 50% of the ball to Maroons's 50%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs Maroons?

Gaddafi 3-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 28%, draw 27%, Maroons 45%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maroons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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