Mbarara City 0-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 May 2024

Mbarara City
0-0 HT 0-0
URA
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Mbarara City vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mbarara City v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.62/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.02
-40% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mbarara City vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY URA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
03.03.2022 Mbarara City Mbarara City 0-0 HT 0-0 URA URA UGA
22.12.2021 URA URA 2-0 HT 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City and URA played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mbarara City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mbarara City and 1.00 for URA.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs URA?

Mbarara City 0-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 43%, draw 26%, URA 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mbarara City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mbarara City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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