DC United 2-0 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
2-0
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.65 xG 0.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 621
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH DC United vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United beat Charleston Battery 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, DC United had 43% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.45.

What was the final score of DC United vs Charleston Battery?

DC United 2-0 Charleston Battery in the USA - Open Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 42%, draw 26%, Charleston Battery 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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