Nashville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v Chattanooga Red Wolves — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nashville SC had 73% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 27%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.63 to 0.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nashville SC's control.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Nashville SC 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - Open Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 62%, draw 16%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.