North Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina 1-4 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte swept aside North Carolina 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Charlotte found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, North Carolina had 33% of the ball to Charlotte's 67%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.60 to 2.96.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Charlotte?
North Carolina 1-4 Charlotte in the USA - Open Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Charlotte?
Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 37%, draw 26%, Charlotte 37%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.