Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.7
X/1
22%
3.81
X/2
7%
8.83
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
8%
7.79
2/X
8%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.67/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.11
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.5 Crosses 21.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundalk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
230 Passes 404
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
29.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.10.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.04.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.03.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY Dundalk
1.42 xG 0.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
529 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne edged past Dundalk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 61% of the ball to Dundalk's 39%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 50%, draw 29%, Dundalk 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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