Derry City 2-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 39% vs market 34.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
10%
7.62
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
11%
6.58
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.47/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.13
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.0 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Galway United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.52 xG 0.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 Passes 124
79% Pass Accuracy 54%
17 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
29.03.2024 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.09.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.06.2017 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
08.05.2017 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
17.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
2-0
AWAY Galway United
1.66 xG 0.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
376 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City got the better of Galway United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Derry City had 62% of the ball to Galway United's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.66 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Galway United?

Derry City 2-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derry City 45%, draw 29%, Galway United 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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