Oskarshamns AIK 1-3 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-10.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 52%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -34%
0.79/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.92
-41% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
231 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 4-3 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.04.2024 AFC Malmö 1-1 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
12.08.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 1-2 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.05.2023 AFC Malmö 4-0 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
1-3
AWAY AFC Malmö
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö got the better of Oskarshamns AIK 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day AFC Malmö made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 60% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 40%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oskarshamns AIK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oskarshamns AIK and 2.50 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö?

Oskarshamns AIK 1-3 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oskarshamns AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 39%, draw 23%, AFC Malmö 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK) ✓ Over 2.5
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