Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-5 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 7 Jun 2025

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2-5 HT 1-3
Brisbane City
📅07/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane v Brisbane City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.60/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.64
-43% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +91%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
295 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.6 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brisbane City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.54 xG 2.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
271 Passes 390
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-4 HT 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
21.07.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-4 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
23.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
06.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-4 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.05.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
08.10.2020 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City ran out comfortable winners over Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brisbane City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 2.83 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane City?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-5 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern Suburbs Brisbane win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 42%, draw 21%, Brisbane City 37%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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