Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.04/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.80
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.03.2025 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
25.05.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
25.02.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior got the better of Brisbane Olympic FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.00 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 41%, draw 27%, Brisbane Olympic FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
7 Jun 2025
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