Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.3pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.02.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior and Brisbane Olympic FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 38%, draw 22%, Brisbane Olympic FC 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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