Surinam 1-0 Porto Riko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 32% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surinam EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto Riko EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Surinam
1-0
AWAY Porto Riko
2.03 xG 0.14
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
423 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Surinam vs Porto Riko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surinam squeezed past Porto Riko 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Surinam as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Surinam had 63% of the ball to Porto Riko's 37%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 2.03 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Surinam's control.

What was the final score of Surinam vs Porto Riko?

Surinam 1-0 Porto Riko in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surinam vs Porto Riko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Surinam win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Surinam 57%, draw 23%, Porto Riko 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Surinam), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Surinam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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