Curaçao vs St. Lucia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Curaçao v St. Lucia — Team-Based Signals
Curaçao vs St. Lucia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Curaçao 4-0 St. Lucia — Actual Match Statistics
Curaçao ran out comfortable winners over St. Lucia 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Curaçao had 66% of the ball to St. Lucia's 34%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 5.48 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Curaçao and 1.50 for St. Lucia.
What was the final score of Curaçao vs St. Lucia?
Curaçao 4-0 St. Lucia in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Curaçao vs St. Lucia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Curaçao 66%, draw 19%, St. Lucia 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.