St. Lucia vs Curaçao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Lucia v Curaçao — Team-Based Signals
St. Lucia 2-1 Curaçao — Actual Match Statistics
St. Lucia nicked a narrow win over Curaçao 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Curaçao at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, St. Lucia had 38% of the ball to Curaçao's 62%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.12.
What was the final score of St. Lucia vs Curaçao?
St. Lucia 2-1 Curaçao in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Lucia vs Curaçao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Lucia 27%, draw 23%, Curaçao 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.