Sint Maarten 0-2 Grenada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
43%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.44
2-3 Goals
32%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
39%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.92 — our 39% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
16%
+18.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
64%
-20.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenada EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+56% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sint Maarten
0-2
AWAY Grenada
0.62 xG 1.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
164 Passes 212
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
6 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Sint Maarten vs Grenada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenada got the better of Sint Maarten 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grenada as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sint Maarten had 58% of the ball to Grenada's 42%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Sint Maarten vs Grenada?

Sint Maarten 0-2 Grenada in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sint Maarten vs Grenada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grenada win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sint Maarten 35%, draw 22%, Grenada 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grenada) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grenada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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