Bermuda 2-3 Dominik Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
44%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
52%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
10.4
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.84 — our 52% vs market 47.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.0pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.8pp
44%
Away Win
60%
-15.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bermuda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
204 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bermuda
2-3
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti
0.48 xG 2.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
355 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bermuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dominik Cumhuriyeti edged past Bermuda 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dominik Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Bermuda had 61% of the ball to Dominik Cumhuriyeti's 39%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.48 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dominik Cumhuriyeti's control.

What was the final score of Bermuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Bermuda 2-3 Dominik Cumhuriyeti in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dominik Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 22%, draw 33%, Dominik Cumhuriyeti 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dominik Cumhuriyeti), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dominik Cumhuriyeti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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