Porto Riko 1-4 Haiti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto Riko EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -57%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto Riko
1-4
AWAY Haiti
0.98 xG 2.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
275 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Porto Riko vs Haiti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti cruised past Porto Riko 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Porto Riko had 50% of the ball to Haiti's 50%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.98 to 2.99.

What was the final score of Porto Riko vs Haiti?

Porto Riko 1-4 Haiti in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto Riko vs Haiti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Porto Riko 29%, draw 25%, Haiti 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
7 Sep 2024
00:00 St. Lucia vs Curaçao Analysis →
00:00 Sint Maarten vs Aruba Analysis →
03:00 Jamaika vs Küba Analysis →
03:00 Sint Maarten vs Grenada Analysis →
05:00 Honduras vs Trinidad & Tobago Analysis →
18:00 Bermuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti Analysis →