Sint Maarten vs Aruba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sint Maarten v Aruba — Team-Based Signals
Sint Maarten vs Aruba Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sint Maarten 2-0 Aruba — Actual Match Statistics
Sint Maarten put daylight between themselves and Aruba 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Sint Maarten made the difference. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Sint Maarten had 56% of the ball to Aruba's 44%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.32 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aruba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sint Maarten and 1.50 for Aruba.
Sint Maarten vs Aruba Result & Final Score
Sint Maarten 2 - 0 Aruba in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sint Maarten vs Aruba Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aruba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sint Maarten 36%, draw 23%, Aruba 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.