Sint Maarten 2-0 Aruba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
32%
+15.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
44%
-13.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aruba EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+124% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sint Maarten
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aruba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.06.2022 Aruba Aruba 3-0 HT 3-0 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten CON
03.06.2022 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten 0-0 HT 0-0 Aruba Aruba CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sint Maarten
2-0
AWAY Aruba
2.32 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
205 Passes 144
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sint Maarten vs Aruba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sint Maarten got the better of Aruba 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sint Maarten as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sint Maarten had 56% of the ball to Aruba's 44%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.32 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aruba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sint Maarten and 1.50 for Aruba.

What was the final score of Sint Maarten vs Aruba?

Sint Maarten 2-0 Aruba in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sint Maarten vs Aruba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sint Maarten win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sint Maarten 48%, draw 21%, Aruba 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sint Maarten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sint Maarten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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