Bosna-Hersek vs San Marino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bosna-Hersek v San Marino — Team-Based Signals
Bosna-Hersek vs San Marino Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
San Marino
DKE
1-3
HT 1-2
Bosna-Hersek
DKE
Bosna-Hersek 1-0 San Marino — Actual Match Statistics
Bosna-Hersek edged past San Marino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bosna-Hersek as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bosna-Hersek had 67% of the ball to San Marino's 33%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.93 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bosna-Hersek's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bosna-Hersek had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bosna-Hersek and 0.50 for San Marino.
What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek vs San Marino?
Bosna-Hersek 1-0 San Marino in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek vs San Marino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bosna-Hersek win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek 72%, draw 13%, San Marino 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bosna-Hersek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.