Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.21
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.10.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
11.03.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
17.10.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
29.05.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
27.11.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Plaza Colonia
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers and Plaza Colonia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 44%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plaza Colonia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Plaza Colonia?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 39%, draw 28%, Plaza Colonia 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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