Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.50/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.03
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
14.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
06.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
12.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
10.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 49%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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