Cerro 1-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
0.98/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.16
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2025 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
26.11.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
26.05.2024 Cerro Cerro 3-2 HT 0-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 4-5 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
09.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
25.02.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-0
AWAY CA River Plate
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro nicked a narrow win over CA River Plate 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Cerro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 42% of the ball to CA River Plate's 58%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerro and 1.33 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Cerro vs CA River Plate?

Cerro 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro 39%, draw 26%, CA River Plate 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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7 Jun 2025
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