Hartford Athletic vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
North Carolina
USLP
4-1
HT 2-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Hartford Athletic 0-1 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina edged past Hartford Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hartford Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 48% of the ball to North Carolina's 52%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.18 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, North Carolina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.50 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs North Carolina?
Hartford Athletic 0-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 44%, draw 22%, North Carolina 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hartford Athletic) went the other way.