Progreso 1-2 Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jun 2026

📅07/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Albion EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.15/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.85
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 1-0 Albion Albion URU
22.07.2023 Albion Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
22.04.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
1-2
AWAY Albion
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albion squeezed past Progreso 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Albion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Progreso had 50% of the ball to Albion's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 1.67 for Albion.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Albion?

Progreso 1-2 Albion in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 36%, draw 26%, Albion 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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