Cerro 0-1 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jun 2026

📅07/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.1pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.79
+26% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-0D-5L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
25.10.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
28.06.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
28.04.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 2-0 Cerro Cerro URU
23.09.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-5 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
10.03.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-1
AWAY CA Penarol
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Cerro vs CA Penarol
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CA Penarol edged past Cerro 1-0 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 7 Jun 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cerro had 43% of the ball to CA Penarol's 57%, shots finished 11-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 2.67 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Cerro vs CA Penarol?

Cerro 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cerro 20%, draw 23%, CA Penarol 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
7 Jun 2026
00:30 Nacional de Football vs Juventud Analysis →
16:00 Progreso vs Albion Analysis →