CA Penarol vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 2-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol got the better of Cerro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 60% of the ball to Cerro's 40%, shots finished 12-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Cerro.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Cerro?
CA Penarol 2-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 61%, draw 21%, Cerro 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.