Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2 HT 0-0
Montevideo Wanderers
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2025

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
0.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.58
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.10.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
17.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
27.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URUK

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 51% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 40%, draw 33%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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