Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
4-0
HT 2-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting and Plaza Colonia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 58% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 42%, shots finished 14-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.50 for Plaza Colonia.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 44%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.