Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plaza Colonia v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
4-0
HT 2-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
Plaza Colonia 1-2 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting nicked a narrow win over Plaza Colonia 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Plaza Colonia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Plaza Colonia had 58% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 42%, shots finished 12-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.50 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting?
Plaza Colonia 1-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 42%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.