CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
0-4
HT 0-3
CA Penarol
CON CSA
CA River Plate 1-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA River Plate and CA Penarol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. CA Penarol carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 52% of the ball to CA Penarol's 48%, shots finished 7-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CA River Plate and 2.50 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
CA River Plate 1-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 20%, draw 22%, CA Penarol 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.