CA Penarol vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 3-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol beat Cerro 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 61% of the ball to Cerro's 39%, shots finished 23-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Cerro.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Cerro?
CA Penarol 3-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 73%, draw 15%, Cerro 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.