Cerro vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
Cerro 2-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro beat CA Penarol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Cerro had 35% of the ball to CA Penarol's 65%, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cerro and 2.67 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Cerro vs CA Penarol?
Cerro 2-0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Cerro 12%, draw 20%, CA Penarol 68%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.