Progreso vs Boston River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Boston River — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Boston River Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 0-1 Boston River — Actual Match Statistics
Boston River nicked a narrow win over Progreso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Progreso had 57% of the ball to Boston River's 43%, shots finished 5-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.83 for Boston River.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Boston River?
Progreso 0-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Boston River?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Progreso 36%, draw 29%, Boston River 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progreso), BTTS Yes went the other way.