Boston River vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boston River v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Boston River vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Boston River
URU
Boston River 2-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Boston River nicked a narrow win over Progreso 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Boston River had 57% of the ball to Progreso's 43%, shots finished 12-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Boston River vs Progreso?
Boston River 2-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boston River vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Boston River 51%, draw 25%, Progreso 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.