Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
0-2
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 1-4 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol ran out comfortable winners over Racing Club Montevideo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 49% of the ball to CA Penarol's 51%, shots finished 13-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol?
Racing Club Montevideo 1-4 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 23%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.