CA Penarol 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.54/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.62
-15% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
17.06.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
17.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
03.12.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
09.05.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.10.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo saw off CA Penarol 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CA Penarol had 61% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 39%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?

CA Penarol 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 53%, draw 26%, Racing Club Montevideo 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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